ARIC HFpEF Risk Calculator

This risk assessment tool uses information from the ARIC Heart Failure Community Surveillance and is designed for black or white adults ≥55 years old with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (EF ≥50%) admitted to hospital with acute decompensation. It predicts risk of dying within 28 days and one year from admission to hospital.

For details regarding the risk score see: Predicting risk in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure and preserved ejection fraction: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Heart Failure Community Surveillance. Thorvaldsen et al. Circ Heart Fail. 2017 Dec;10(12)


Systolic blood pressure
Heart rate(bpm)
BNP (pg/mL)*
NT-proBNP (pg/mL)*
White race yes no
BMI <18.5 (kg/m2) yes no
Hypoxia (oxygen saturation <90%) yes no
Cerebrovascular disease (stroke or TIA) yes no
COPD yes no
Atrial fibrillation/flutter yes no

*Enter either BNP or NT-proBNP, not both