Comparison of the prognostic significance of the electrocardiographic QRS/T angles in predicting incident coronary heart disease and total mortality (from the atherosclerosis risk in communities study).

Spatial QRS/T angle and spatial T-wave axis were shown to be strong independent predictors of incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and total mortality, but they are not routinely available. We evaluated whether frontal plane QRS/T angle, easily obtained as the difference between frontal plane axes of QRS and T, provides a suitable substitute for spatial QRS/T angle as a risk predictor. Our study consisted of 13,973 participants from the ARIC Study. Outcome variables were incident CHD and total mortality during a median follow-up of 14 years. Electrocardiographic variables were categorized as abnormal (>/=95th percentile), borderline (>/=75th and 50% increased risk. Spatial QRS/T angle was a stronger predictor of incident CHD in women, with a 114% increased risk, but it was not significantly associated with risk of incident CHD in men. Similarly, frontal plane QRS/T angle was statistically significant for only women with a 74% increased risk of incident CHD. In conclusion, frontal plane QRS/T angle as an easily derived risk measure is a suitable clinical substitute for spatial QRS/T angle for risk prediction.